No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.52
Polymarket Trader
Caleb181
0x4aa49855476309b9726be7e75fb18ac71f1c2ef6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $10.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Arsenal wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Epstein files released this week?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will CHEGA win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
US lifts Russia sanctions before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 99.9% 46 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 99.8% 46 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 46% 99 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 96.1% 42 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 96.1% 42 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 3% 43 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 49% 92 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 95.4% 43 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 20% 20 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 99.2% 41 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 38% 88 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 98.7% 38 shares