Polymarket Trader

joebmx

0x4aa7f2b72cbc74d0fe1332ef681593af03745458

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $947.5
Realized PnL: $6.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $3.13K
User PnL: -$2.13K

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $947.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $52.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $27.5

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $716.51
Potential profit: $716.51
User PnL: -$272.27

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.16
Potential profit: $141.16
User PnL: -$113.8

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.02
Potential profit: $117.02
User PnL: -$100.63

Switzerland position

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $51
User PnL: -$31.11

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $43
User PnL: -$7.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.98
Potential profit: $11.98
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.38
Potential profit: $9.38
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $924.24

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $747.3

No position

Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $372.1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.64

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.16

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 55% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.06

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.56

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.47

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $110.1

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.52

Yes position

Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.33

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.44

Yes position

Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.09

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.87

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.87

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

Will Trump visit China by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.62

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.42

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.46

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Morocco 69% 43 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 18% 43 shares
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Switzerland 61% 51 shares
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5

Over 43% 35 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Yes 39% 1,999.99 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 68% 199.99 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

No 92% 1,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Yes 33.5% 1,999.99 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

No 91% 1,661.31 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 79% 1,000 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?

No 98% 29.54 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by May 31, 2026?

No 83% 50 shares