No position
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $483.99
- Potential payout
- $549.99
- Potential profit
- $66
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $19.1
Polymarket Trader
MaxDecosta
0x4aa9cb4d5c9fcd7911300ddb760cf3184d54d1bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $634.3
- Realized PnL
- $915.94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $140.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $9.75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $15.75
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$44
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.03
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.48
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.86
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $125
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.02
No position
EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.34
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.01
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.35
No position
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.95
No position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.53
Yes position
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 80% 12.5 shares
- Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?No 92% 40 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 99.1% 10 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 94% 10 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 83% 20 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 83% 120 shares
- Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?No 91% 0.55 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 79% 10 shares
- US congress stock trading ban before 2027?No 87% 5 shares
- US congress stock trading ban before 2027?No 87% 30 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 83% 10 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No 98.1% 10 shares