Polymarket Trader

twerk4hv

@vgharshul

0x4aac816a4aa83520b4718b6cf2617e8040c9ced2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $126.81
Realized PnL: $5.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.06K
Potential profit: $32.06K
User PnL: -$25.6K

SPARTA position

Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lazer Cats - Map 1 Winner

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$0.25

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $54.57
Potential payout: $136.43
Potential profit: $81.86
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $34.42

Up position

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.3
Potential profit: $108.3
User PnL: -$62.9

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$39

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $36.98
Potential payout: $87
Potential profit: $50.03
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$3.91

Up position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.05

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.05

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.05

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.05

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will David Raya score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $35.27
Potential payout: $35.66
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.14
Potential profit: $6.14
User PnL: -$3.07

No position

Will Kagiso Rabada win the 2026 IPL purple cap?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $675.1

No position

Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 27 above $5.50?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $595

Yes position

Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $136-$138 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $492.88

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.22

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 11 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.34

Up position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.59

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.32

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 Week of May 11 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.24

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.36

Yes position

Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.17

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.62

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.7

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.96

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.89

Yes position

Will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit (LOW) $610 Week of April 13 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.8

Up position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.86

Up position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.97

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.72

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.81

Yes position

Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.63

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?

Yes 2% 40 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?

Down 4.9% 5,007 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?

Down 28.9% 1,199.99 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?

Down 15.2% 854.91 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?

Down 99.1% 80.73 shares
Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.3% 2,351.99 shares
Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.1% 1,500 shares
Will David Raya score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.5% 140.91 shares
Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?

Yes 62.9% 169.05 shares
Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?

Yes 26.9% 95.34 shares
Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?

Yes 16.2% 95.32 shares
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by June 30?

Yes 76% 125.99 shares