Polymarket Trader

NotThatJohn

0x4ab13f96a6345382343621bd681c344bf4d1ceb7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.74
Realized PnL: -$6.67
Win rate: 23.1%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.69
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $13.43
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $6.29
Potential profit: $5.29
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $3.07
Potential profit: $1.88
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $0.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $4.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.76

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 9, 2026?

No 46% 11.11 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?

No 7% 15 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.9% 6.29 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.6% 3.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Down 50% 2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Down 50% 2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Down 26% 3.85 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 9, 2026?

No 9% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Up 29% 3.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Up 50% 2 shares
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares