Polymarket Trader

OtaBenga

0x4ab47d48a232c19762f18209dbb58d7b940de073

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $360.17
Realized PnL: $1.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $65.55
Potential payout: $313.63
Potential profit: $248.08
Multiplier: 4.78x
User PnL: $55.55

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.55
Potential profit: $220.55
User PnL: -$51.4

Yes position

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$38

Yes position

Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.75
Potential profit: $168.75
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $14.99
Potential payout: $136.28
Potential profit: $121.29
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$13.51

No position

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $85.44
Potential payout: $130.44
Potential profit: $45
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $55.44

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.6
Potential profit: $119.6
User PnL: -$52.44

No position

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $42
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $58
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.22
Potential profit: $72.22
User PnL: -$26

No position

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $54.47
Potential payout: $71.67
Potential profit: $17.2
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $11.47

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.73
Potential profit: $64.73
User PnL: -$16.83

No position

Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $37.66
Potential payout: $43.07
Potential profit: $5.41
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $11.82

Yes position

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $25.03
Potential payout: $36.54
Potential profit: $11.51
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $6.03

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $8.07
Potential payout: $32.3
Potential profit: $24.22
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$11.63

Yes position

Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.14
Potential profit: $25.14
User PnL: -$3.52

Yes position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $22
User PnL: -$9.02

No position

Will Russia enter Khatnie by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $19.19
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.81
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6.39

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $3.27
Potential payout: $5.36
Potential profit: $2.09
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.5

Yes position

Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.3

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.05

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.1

Yes position

Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.29

Yes position

Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.32

Yes position

Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.98

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovka by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.16

Yes position

Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.67

Yes position

Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.75

No position

Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.5

No position

Will Russia enter Borova by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.11

Yes position

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $53

No position

Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.85

Yes position

Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $48.32

No position

Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.51

No position

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.74

No position

Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.47

Yes position

Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.79

No position

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.43

Yes position

Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.91

Yes position

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Yes position

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.95

No position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?

No 23% 130.43 shares
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?

Yes 3.2% 313.63 shares
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?

No 30% 100 shares
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?

No 60% 71.67 shares
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?

Yes 56% 5.36 shares
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026?

Yes 69% 167.12 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4.1% 268.19 shares
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?

Yes 8.1% 190.74 shares
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?

No 88% 56.82 shares
Will Russia enter Borova by June 30?

No 88% 32.95 shares
Will Russia enter Borova by June 30?

No 88% 56.82 shares
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?

Yes 57% 100 shares