Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Current value
- $18.74
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $112.84
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- -$6.26
Polymarket Trader
Camstipated
0x4ac2091962b903a7d31ac9784f09e4e1bf6532aa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90.05
- Realized PnL
- $153.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.46
- Potential profit
- $126.46
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $15.21
- Potential payout
- $62.06
- Potential profit
- $46.86
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $5.32
Yes position
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.7
- Potential profit
- $36.7
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $29.02
- Potential payout
- $31.37
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $7.01
Yes position
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $23.53
- Potential profit
- $23.41
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?
Ends Dec 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $9.44
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $9.07
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
Ends Dec 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $9.17
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $9.35
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Halle Berry as Storm?
Ends Dec 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $7.42
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $9.25
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $2.42
Yes position
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $12.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $12.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.35
- Potential profit
- $12.35
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $11.32
- Potential profit
- $11.3
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.98
Yes position
Will anyone say "Space" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will anyone say "Sleep" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will anyone say "Possible" or "Impossible" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $7.41
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $3.61
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.15
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.27
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.56
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.51
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
No position
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will "Wicked: For Good" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" 15+ times during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Yes position
Will Weapons win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.69
Maple Leafs position
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Yes position
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Yes position
Will Ryan Coogler be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will the Ottawa Senators make the NHL Playoffs?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 22% 4.55 shares
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 20% 41.97 shares
- Will anyone say "Space" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?Yes 9% 11.11 shares
- Will anyone say "Sleep" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Will anyone say "Possible" or "Impossible" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes 14.2% 35.15 shares
- Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes 4.9% 42.22 shares
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 58.5% 70.31 shares
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 10.9% 36.7 shares
- Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 8.1% 12.35 shares
- Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 7.7% 12.99 shares
- Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 7.7% 12.99 shares