No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $4.76K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
TheKinginYellow
0x4ac989d73d9e8802075724a1aff23ef39201cf1a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.51K
- Realized PnL
- $17.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $610
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$91
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $270.29
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $109.04
Yes position
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $7.72
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$92.28
Y
Yes position
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $342.99
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$32
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $129.01
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $114.46
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $233.65
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $33.94
Y
Yes position
Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $165
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$60.54
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $7.42
- User PnL
- $127.66
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $9.8
- User PnL
- $81.09
No position
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $942.97
- Potential payout
- $950.1
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- User PnL
- $15.14
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $869.06
- Potential payout
- $929.98
- Potential profit
- $60.91
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $837.63
- Potential payout
- $891.1
- Potential profit
- $53.47
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $73.2
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $323.28
- Potential payout
- $862.07
- Potential profit
- $538.79
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $73.28
No position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $788.77
- Potential payout
- $862.05
- Potential profit
- $73.27
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $69.39
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $370.18
- Potential payout
- $804.73
- Potential profit
- $434.55
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$92.41
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $96.67
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $570
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $458.27
- Potential payout
- $650.03
- Potential profit
- $191.76
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $24.33
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $530.49
- Potential payout
- $609.76
- Potential profit
- $79.27
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $30.49
No position
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $497.59
- Potential payout
- $592.37
- Potential profit
- $94.78
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $31.45
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $550
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $527.47
- Potential payout
- $531.99
- Potential profit
- $4.52
- User PnL
- $42.6
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $507.99
- Potential payout
- $531.92
- Potential profit
- $23.94
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $22.05
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $397.47
- Potential payout
- $506.33
- Potential profit
- $108.86
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$2.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran Nuke in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
No position
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $982.82
No position
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $959.42
No position
Starmer out before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $888.13
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $853.71
No position
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $788.48
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $754.22
No position
Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before April 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $721.66
No position
AOC pregnant in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $698.34
No position
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640.77
No position
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $632.22
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $604.04
No position
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $602.66
No position
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
Ends Dec 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $577.73
No position
DeepSeek banned in US before April?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $575.07
No position
DeepSeek banned in US before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $572.24
Yes position
Israel military action on Yemen before June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550
Yes position
US strike on Syria by December 19?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.79
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $527.12
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505.01
Yes position
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $496.96
No position
Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $489.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Dublin: Titouan Droguet vs Jurij RodionovTitouan Droguet 61% 180.46 shares
- Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor FritzAlexander Zverev 57.5% 347.93 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?No 44% 113.64 shares
- HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco CerundoloFrancisco Cerundolo 57% 175.44 shares
- Parma: Daniel Rincon vs Luca Van AsscheLuca Van Assche 72% 138.89 shares
- Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 15% 666.67 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 86% 500 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes 72% 398.85 shares
- Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes 58% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 57.5% 1,739.63 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 43% 793.24 shares
- Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Katerina SiniakovaJessica Pegula 89% 56.18 shares