Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.9
- Potential profit
- $23.9
- User PnL
- -$23.68
Polymarket Trader
0x4Ad435d8e33a6f00fA8d9b5bA50d1751943AD7ae-1765547930680
0x4ad435d8e33a6f00fa8d9b5ba50d1751943ad7ae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 19?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or higher on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 63°F or below on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 33°F or below on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 30?Yes 99.9% 7.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on June 30?No 99.9% 7.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 30?No 99.9% 7.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on June 29?No 99.9% 7.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 28?Yes 99.9% 7.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 26?No 99.9% 7.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 26?Yes 99.8% 7.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 24?Yes 99.8% 7.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 23?No 99.9% 7.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 23?Yes 99.9% 7.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C or higher on June 22?No 99.8% 7.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 21?No 99.9% 7.33 shares