Polymarket Trader

AIicia

0x4ae75d1725ff2e0c0920f33c193b795fe0a6411f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2K
Realized PnL: $516.36
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $206.02
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$37.42

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $619.49
Potential profit: $619.49
User PnL: -$48.16

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $391.63
Potential profit: $391.63
User PnL: -$55

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.11
Potential profit: $85.11
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.23
Potential profit: $62.23
User PnL: -$52.4

Yes position

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $6.33
Potential payout: $61.71
Potential profit: $55.38
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$53.67

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $23.53
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.3%
Current value: $18.24
Potential payout: $21.91
Potential profit: $3.67
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $9.08
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.92

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $5.66
Potential payout: $6.09
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.48

No position

Will FaZe Clan win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.53

No position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.55

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.19

No position

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.79

No position

Will Nigeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.74

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.38

UCLA position

Penn State vs. UCLA

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.43

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.36

No position

Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

No position

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-01?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.52

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on December 18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

No position

Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.02

No position

French election called by October 17?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.73

No position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.44

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.82

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 84% 31.19 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 93.3% 6.09 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 85% 23.53 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 75% 26.67 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 77% 25.97 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94.2% 42.57 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91.7% 42.57 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 47% 85.11 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 71% 14.08 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91.3% 10.95 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91.3% 10.95 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 84.2% 62.23 shares