Polymarket Trader

morguet

0x4ae92960b45661b567d8bb05ba1802d0d650b1ef

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.88K
Realized PnL: $1.47K
Win rate: 86.7%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.68K
Potential profit: $24.68K
User PnL: -$49.36

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $2.44K
Potential payout: $14.21K
Potential profit: $11.77K
Multiplier: 5.83x
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $888.13
Potential payout: $14.21K
Potential profit: $13.32K
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$367.59

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $5.06K
Potential payout: $7.73K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$579.47

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $372.85
Potential payout: $6.48K
Potential profit: $6.11K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$212.61

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.6%
Current value: $2.25K
Potential payout: $6.48K
Potential profit: $4.24K
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $450.64
Potential payout: $6.48K
Potential profit: $6.03K
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$282.05

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $852.64
Potential payout: $6.48K
Potential profit: $5.63K
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: -$282.05

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.48K
Potential profit: $6.48K
User PnL: -$337.16

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $25.49
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $2.4K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$23.06

France position

Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $93.4
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $5.49

Yes position

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $64.31
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $27.46
Potential payout: $963.66
Potential profit: $936.2
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$50.59

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $687.82
Potential profit: $687.82
User PnL: -$4.81

Morocco position

Spread: Canada (-1.5)

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $502.65
Potential payout: $531.91
Potential profit: $29.26
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.66

Team Liquid position

LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.85
Potential profit: $289.85
User PnL: -$197.1

Yes position

Will Manuel Neuer record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.91
Potential profit: $117.91
User PnL: -$10.53

Karmine Corp position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.93

Yes position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.36

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.91

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.41

Egypt position

Spread: Australia (-1.5)

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.56

Portugal position

Spread: Colombia (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.56

Egypt position

Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.9

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.58

England position

Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.54

Portugal position

Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.91

DR Congo position

Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.91

France position

Spread: Sweden (-1.5)

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.41

Yes position

Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.92

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$720

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Team Liquid 68% 289.85 shares
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)

Portugal 90% 555.55 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

No 7% 2,000 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 92% 582.28 shares
Will Manuel Neuer record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.1% 74.03 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.7% 154 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.7% 7,572.13 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.9% 7,726.25 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 73% 7,726.25 shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Karmine Corp 37% 5 shares
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 73% 1,369.93 shares
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 8.1% 963.66 shares