Polymarket Trader

P1kaso

0x4aefed77846f1b884bcbfb9e63acb351c2be9337

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.96K
Realized PnL: $153.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will de Goes Rodrygo win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$591.18

Yes position

Will Jamal Musiala win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$591.18

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.9%
Current value: $1.69K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.32K
Multiplier: 5.93x
User PnL: $655

No position

Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $2.59K
Potential payout: $6.99K
Potential profit: $4.4K
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $279.38

No position

Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $3.28K
Potential payout: $5.25K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $131.2

No position

Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $5.2K
Potential profit: $3.67K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $16.02

No position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $652.95
Potential payout: $5.02K
Potential profit: $4.37K
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $100.23

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$750.02

No position

Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.33K
Potential profit: $4.33K
User PnL: -$50.42

Yes position

Will Dialogue for Hungary (Párbeszéd) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.68K
Potential profit: $3.68K
User PnL: -$40.16

Yes position

Will England and Spain draw 2-2?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.88K
Potential profit: $2.88K
User PnL: -$914.83

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-09-06?

Ends Sep 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$102.92

Yes position

Will Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $2.02K
User PnL: -$61.91

Tunisia position

Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$43.33

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $400
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $100

No position

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $390
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $70

Tunisia position

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.14K

No position

Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $554.14
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $39.58

Italy position

UEFA Women's Euro: England vs. Italy (To Advance)

Ends Jul 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$485.54

Yes position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Second half draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$231.43

No position

Will Eric Cartman make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$1.9

No position

Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $676.13
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $15.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Barcelona win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.66K

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.23K

Yes position

Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.49K

Yes position

Will North Macedonia vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.74K

Yes position

Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.58K

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.55K

Yes position

Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09K

PSG position

FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.72K

Yes position

Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.18K

Yes position

Will Lithuania vs. Netherlands end in a draw?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.97K

Yes position

Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.12K

No position

Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.09K

No position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.03K

Inter Milan position

Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5K

Fluminense position

FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59K

Yes position

Will Andorra win on 2025-09-06?

Ends Sep 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.36K

No position

Will PSG win in regulation?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88K

Jets position

Blues vs. Jets

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7K

Yes position

Will United States win the 2025 IIHF World Championship?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15K

Chelsea position

FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06K

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.91K

Yes position

Will Cody Gakpo be Euro 2024 top scorer?

Ends Jul 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88K

Chelsea position

FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance)

Ends Jul 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79K

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10% 108.32 shares
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 6.5 Corners

Under 79% 5 shares
Paraguay vs. Australia: Draw at halftime?

Yes 53% 200 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 Corners

Under 93% 525 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 Corners

Under 93% 177.57 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 Corners

Under 94.9% 284.02 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 Corners

Under 94.6% 200.3 shares
Türkiye to win the second half?

Yes 56% 26.42 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 Corners

Under 67% 116.96 shares
Spread: Hurricanes (-4.5)

Golden Knights 98% 55 shares
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)

Hurricanes 99.9% 78 shares
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 97% 7.02 shares