Polymarket Trader

asdfedf

0x4af54398135094e4bb8a5247046dc4a4dcb04f4e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.17K
Realized PnL: $32.58
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $604.8
Potential payout: $630
Potential profit: $25.2
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$6.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $113.18
Potential payout: $113.81
Potential profit: $0.63
User PnL: $13.19

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $102.87
Potential payout: $108.23
Potential profit: $5.36
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.87

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $102.16
Potential payout: $105.49
Potential profit: $3.32
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.16

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $98.42
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $6.84
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$1.58

No position

Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Turkiye vs USA FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $101.05
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $4.21
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $94.66
Potential payout: $102.67
Potential profit: $8.01
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$5.34

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $99.85
Potential payout: $102.35
Potential profit: $2.51
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $96.44
Potential payout: $101.52
Potential profit: $5.08
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$3.56

No position

Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $98.93
Potential payout: $101.37
Potential profit: $2.43
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$1.07

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $98.33
Potential payout: $100.91
Potential profit: $2.57
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$1.66

No position

Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $99.96
Potential payout: $100.72
Potential profit: $0.76
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $97.52
Potential payout: $100.58
Potential profit: $3.07
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$2.48

No position

Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -2% and 0% in May?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $94.67
Potential payout: $100.23
Potential profit: $5.56
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$5.33

No position

Will FIFA World Cup 2026 be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $97.1
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $2.9
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $85.57
Potential payout: $89.98
Potential profit: $4.41
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.77

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $67.69
Potential payout: $71.25
Potential profit: $3.56
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$2.76

No position

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in June?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $7.22
Potential payout: $7.49
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.87

No position

Will Billy Webster win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

No position

Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Robert Lee be the Republican nominee for SC-04?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Alex Pelbath be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Rom Reddy win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Jay Byars be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Jonathan Bush win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Sam McCown be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump's remarks not air?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump say "Ronaldo" or "Messi" or "Pele" during June 24 Rally?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 97% 630 shares
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

No 99% 21.92 shares
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

No 98.9% 32.6 shares
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

No 98% 47 shares
Will FIFA World Cup 2026 be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

No 99.3% 100 shares
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

No 97.4% 102.67 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on June 26, 2026?

No 99.1% 100.91 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 26, 2026?

No 99.5% 60.58 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 26, 2026?

No 99.4% 30 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 26, 2026?

No 99% 10 shares
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 99% 23 shares
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 98.9% 6.65 shares