Yes position
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $505.41
- Potential profit
- $504.14
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Polymarket Trader
carlosandrea
0x4b103fdcaec8e25acbf18860cd5718767871e48f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $198.11
- Realized PnL
- $947.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.97
- Potential profit
- $134.97
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Y
Yes position
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $8.51
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $111.49
- Multiplier
- 14.10x
- User PnL
- -$26.29
No position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.9%
- Current value
- $75.72
- Potential payout
- $109.98
- Potential profit
- $34.26
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$20.16
Yes position
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.15
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$7.15
No position
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.83
- Potential profit
- $95.83
- User PnL
- -$74.01
Yes position
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $74.81
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$12.06
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $48.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.24
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$3.74
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.85
- Potential profit
- $29.85
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $17.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $19.15
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
ECB rate cut in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.4
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$3.8
No position
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 91.1%
- Current value
- $9.11
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $3.2
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.8
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.11
- Multiplier
- 11.17x
- User PnL
- -$3.41
Yes position
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.4
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.07
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.1
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.36
Yes position
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.56
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.49
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.5
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.3
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.35
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.86
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $25.9
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.58
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
Yes position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.72
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.74
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.27
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 5, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.09
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.88
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes 16.7% 29.85 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes 11.5% 43.48 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 94% 230 shares
- Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?Yes 33% 60 shares
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No 27% 30 shares
- Will "EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?Yes 3.3% 10.16 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 19, 2026?No 4% 200 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 19, 2026?No 3.9% 30 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?No 1.6% 200 shares
- Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?Yes 1.3% 800 shares
- Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?Yes 1.1% 301.12 shares
- Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?Yes 1.1% 1,000 shares