Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $287.69
- Potential payout
- $357.38
- Potential profit
- $69.69
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$3.64
Polymarket Trader
OringiMiOLingi
0x4b15cc2b023f08230526f841758b1651337423b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $453.18
- Realized PnL
- $264.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $104.01
- Potential payout
- $104.17
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $4.01
No position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $41.25
- Potential payout
- $43.75
- Potential profit
- $2.49
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $20.22
- Potential payout
- $22.35
- Potential profit
- $2.12
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.27
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.95
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.8
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.74
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Yes position
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.37
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $11.07
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 19?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 78% 128.21 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 26.32 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 40.54 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 77% 64.94 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 94% 20.64 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 94.8% 19.88 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 90.5% 19.89 shares
- Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No 83% 21.47 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 94% 2.13 shares
- Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No 91.5% 21.86 shares
- Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No 91.4% 21.89 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?No 95.7% 20.9 shares