Polymarket Trader

Stef85

0x4b1ff6f5a31a2d6d36d5b72ed9b982a0b44a4a07

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $173
Realized PnL: $664.73
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$275

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $152.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $847.49
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $18.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$147

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $479.5
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$54.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $467.76

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.84

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Monday?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

No position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.8

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.98

No position

Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03

No position

Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.29

Yes position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$93.57

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$231.84

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$240

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$578.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 15% 43.12 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.4% 999.99 shares
Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?

No 98.1% 370 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 18% 1,000 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

No 82% 500 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 19% 500 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

No 82% 500 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Yes 7% 500 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Yes 28.3% 2,000 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Yes 31% 500 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Yes 46% 2,000 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Yes 30.9% 2,000 shares