No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $148.8K
- Potential payout
- $149.17K
- Potential profit
- $372.93
- User PnL
- $2.92K
Polymarket Trader
refzer
0x4b2fe2f4a4e352534d7c02f3ed2f772bb8a11627
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $192.25K
- Realized PnL
- $10.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $43.45K
- Potential payout
- $43.71K
- Potential profit
- $262.28
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $994.08
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $760.34
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $569.57
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.36
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.21
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.81
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.48
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.47
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.28
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.05
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.19
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.24
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.21
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Bucks
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.65
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.73
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.96
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.9
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.76
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.96
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.21
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.5% 18,500 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.6% 12,104.6 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.4% 1,042.41 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.4% 129.39 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.3% 2,508.47 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98% 170.44 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.2% 2,449.19 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 96.9% 11,385.76 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.9% 16,434.16 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 95.9% 893.1 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 95.9% 42.83 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.2% 49,861.08 shares