Polymarket Trader

0x4B473B3771872e551D8B761dAeac92f89D54A650-1778035144691

0x4b473b3771872e551d8b761daeac92f89d54a650

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.32
Realized PnL: $16.04
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $9.17
Potential profit: $7.72
Multiplier: 6.31x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.3%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $3.63
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $2.66
Potential payout: $3.27
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $3.16
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $2.64
Potential payout: $3.15
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.2%
Current value: $2.87
Potential payout: $3.15
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.9%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $2.48
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $1.31
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.9%
Current value: $2.09
Potential payout: $2.3
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 91.8%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $2.29
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $2.26
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $1.04
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $1.52
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $1.3
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.1%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 91.4%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $1.17
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 81% 1.23 shares
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 85.9% 1.16 shares
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 96.7% 1.03 shares
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 97.1% 1.03 shares
Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 97.8% 1.02 shares
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 97.8% 1.02 shares
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 34% 2.94 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 69% 1.45 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 86% 1.16 shares
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 76% 1.32 shares
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 80% 1.25 shares