Polymarket Trader

HappyGamma

0x4b507680105258609aea4242313f8f671318be13

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.99
Realized PnL: $22.15
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of March 30 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.5 and 4.0%?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Declan Rice win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $977.01
Potential profit: $976.52
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $780.42
Potential profit: $779.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $652.99
Potential profit: $652.99
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $582.9
Potential profit: $582.03
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will a player representing Switzerland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $568.88
Potential profit: $568.88
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $533.91
Potential profit: $533.64
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 3.5%?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.99
Potential profit: $285.99
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $106.12
Potential profit: $105.43
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.31

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Carlos Zavaleta win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Resni.ca (Res) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 2.8% 106.12 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Portugal 38% 13.16 shares
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Yes 53% 9.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 46.49 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 5 shares
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Yes 0.2% 36.8 shares
Will Steve Ballmer be 3rd richest person on March 31?

Yes 0.2% 85.33 shares