Polymarket Trader

0a25

0x4b5b100bde3a1d74646ca7816e2e1e405d170872

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $101
Realized PnL: $749.47
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$395.04

Yes position

Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$8.55

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$16.5

Yes position

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$7.9

Yes position

Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.82K
User PnL: -$26.28

Yes position

Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$42.15

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$276.1

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $994
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Linea FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $827.74
Potential profit: $827.74
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750.01
Potential profit: $750.01
User PnL: -$15.75

Yes position

Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2.97

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $494.75
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$18.25

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $22.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $477.25
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $14.25

Yes position

Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.01
Potential profit: $250.01
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.78
Potential profit: $227.78
User PnL: -$38.8

Yes position

Linea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225
Potential profit: $225
User PnL: -$132.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.57

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.96

Yes position

Linea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.37

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.5

No position

Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.7

Yes position

Will Saeed Jalili be the next President of Iran?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.32

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.68

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.53

Yes position

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.35

No position

Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.5

No position

Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Yes position

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.35

Yes position

Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $6.87

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

Yes position

Biden drops out before the Democratic convention?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Linea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will the match be a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will a Democratic Senator call on Biden to drop out?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will another person be the next President of Iran?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Biden drops out by July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?

Ends Jul 14, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 0.3% 1,000 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 26% 5 shares
Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Yes 16% 6.5 shares
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 2.7% 100 shares
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 2.7% 100 shares
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 2.7% 279.99 shares
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 1.9% 100 shares
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 1.8% 310 shares
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 1.7% 269.99 shares
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 1.6% 100 shares
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 1.5% 100 shares
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 1% 346.95 shares