No position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $65.28
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$82.83
Polymarket Trader
lutinfacetieux
0x4b5c4b3c9eed6566830f91d1f33d8877b8736276
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $595.94
- Realized PnL
- -$6.06
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $938.92
- Potential profit
- $938.92
- User PnL
- -$600
No position
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $101.6
- Potential payout
- $883.5
- Potential profit
- $781.9
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$94.62
Yes position
Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $802.1
- Potential profit
- $802.1
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $603.05
- Potential profit
- $603.05
- User PnL
- -$103
No position
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $156.81
- Potential payout
- $540.71
- Potential profit
- $383.91
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $6.81
Yes position
Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $470.05
- Potential profit
- $470.05
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $156.26
- Potential payout
- $300.51
- Potential profit
- $144.24
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $6.26
Yes position
Will François Briançon be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $296.17
- Potential profit
- $296.17
- User PnL
- -$165.9
No position
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $70.16
- Potential payout
- $206.35
- Potential profit
- $136.19
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$29.84
No position
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $45.83
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $46.76
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$4.17
No position
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.7
- Potential profit
- $90.7
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.98
Yes position
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 14.5% 334.56 shares
- Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 27.7% 540.71 shares
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 10.8% 1,723.23 shares
- Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 22.2% 900.5 shares
- Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 49.9% 300.51 shares
- Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 48.5% 206.35 shares
- Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 54% 92.59 shares
- Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?Yes 38% 526.15 shares
- Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?Yes 31.9% 470.05 shares
- Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes 17.1% 603.05 shares
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?Yes 63.9% 938.92 shares
- Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes 0.1% 1,174.57 shares