Polymarket Trader

Percry

0x4b73c9adc0bdf4241c8f8b37cb98e01beee35adb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.15
Realized PnL: $1.25
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.5
Potential profit: $137.5
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $3.15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Pistons position

Hornets vs. Pistons

Ends Jan 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?

Yes 4.3% 23.26 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Yes 95.1% 3.15 shares
Hornets vs. Pistons

Pistons 71% 1.41 shares
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks

Cavaliers 72% 2.08 shares
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

Yes 1.3% 15.38 shares
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?

Yes 2.7% 11.11 shares
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?

Yes 0.8% 137.5 shares
Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?

Yes 93% 5.38 shares
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

Yes 0.5% 28 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?

Yes 1.1% 18.18 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?

No 12% 2.08 shares
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Yes 97.5% 5.13 shares