Yes position
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $554.9
- Potential payout
- $693.62
- Potential profit
- $138.72
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$25.95
Polymarket Trader
Saguache
0x4b7ad5e46052e754b71dafc8a19d64c2f9b75ce6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.29K
- Realized PnL
- $783.74
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $119.78
- Potential payout
- $311.11
- Potential profit
- $191.33
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$20.22
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $165.31
- Potential payout
- $287.5
- Potential profit
- $122.19
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $176.42
- Potential payout
- $197.12
- Potential profit
- $20.7
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $41.69
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $114
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $19.33
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $101.09
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $7.61
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $17.69
- Potential payout
- $30.77
- Potential profit
- $13.08
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.23
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $19.04
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $16.4
- Potential payout
- $18.64
- Potential profit
- $2.24
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $10.18
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $2.01
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $4.4
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $1.64
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.09
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.09
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $262.11
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.05
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.03
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.28
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.1
Yes position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.15
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.05
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.6
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.16
Yes position
Will the State of the Union be 100 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.03
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.61
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Everett Wess be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 92.9% 10.76 shares
- Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 94.7% 10.56 shares
- Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 98% 10.2 shares
- Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 79.9% 10 shares
- Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 85.8% 11.65 shares
- Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 90.4% 11.06 shares
- Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 90.8% 110.13 shares
- Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 85.8% 116.56 shares
- Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 75.4% 5 shares
- Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 84.1% 118.86 shares
- Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 37.9% 26.38 shares
- Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 40.7% 2.46 shares