Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.61K
- Potential profit
- $3.61K
- User PnL
- -$399.22
Polymarket Trader
chessplayer
@chessplayerpoly
0x4b8ae011176b76888949476d7fb7a56985faf4a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.34K
- Realized PnL
- $28.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$88.35
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $577.79
- Potential payout
- $947.2
- Potential profit
- $369.41
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $145.78
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $394.46
- Potential payout
- $657.43
- Potential profit
- $262.97
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $87.49
N
No position
Will the match not air?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $506.94
- Potential payout
- $510
- Potential profit
- $3.06
- User PnL
- $26.99
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $65
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $435
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$41.67
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $15.21
- Potential payout
- $498.65
- Potential profit
- $483.44
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Y
Yes position
Will Paraguay concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $345
- Potential profit
- $344.14
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$36.04
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $205.27
- Potential payout
- $333.78
- Potential profit
- $128.51
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $44.62
N
No position
Will the match not air?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $296.4
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $12.15
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $287.69
- Potential profit
- $287.69
- User PnL
- -$152.23
Y
Yes position
Will Kai Havertz score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $253.06
- Potential payout
- $275.07
- Potential profit
- $22.01
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $101.23
Yes position
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $151.78
- Potential payout
- $268.68
- Potential profit
- $116.9
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $23.13
N
No position
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $201.82
- Potential payout
- $243.16
- Potential profit
- $41.34
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $40.57
Y
Yes position
Will 5+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $37.76
- Potential payout
- $236
- Potential profit
- $198.24
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $2.08
N
No position
Will Congo DR be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $219.38
- Potential payout
- $227.1
- Potential profit
- $7.72
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.49
- Potential profit
- $207.49
- User PnL
- -$14.73
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Record" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $113.78
- Potential payout
- $205
- Potential profit
- $91.23
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $11.53
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $81.47
- Potential payout
- $201.17
- Potential profit
- $119.7
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $40.7
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.70 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$118
No position
Will Fabián Ruiz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $93.99
- Potential payout
- $197.87
- Potential profit
- $103.88
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $16.28
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185
- Potential profit
- $185
- User PnL
- -$102.35
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $127.99
- Potential payout
- $181.55
- Potential profit
- $53.56
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $29.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $959.96
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $940.22
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $900.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $860.78
Over position
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $853.17
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $841.15
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $786.52
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $754.16
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $743.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 47.9% 268.68 shares
- Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 63% 442 shares
- Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 54.3% 231 shares
- Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?No 27% 40.43 shares
- Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 50.6% 201 shares
- Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 57% 5 shares
- Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 53.4% 263.39 shares
- Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?No 98.6% 11.5 shares
- Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?No 99.2% 16.67 shares
- Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 47% 255.43 shares
- Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 47.3% 442 shares
- Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 45.1% 291.17 shares