Polymarket Trader

-FROMTHEFUTURE-

0x4b8c8f25a0ab91aa2bffe45de975f16fde2f9e5d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $36.81
Realized PnL: $7.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.7K
Potential profit: $230.7K
User PnL: -$322.98

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203.76K
Potential profit: $203.76K
User PnL: -$321.53

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.5K
Potential profit: $60.5K
User PnL: -$81.61

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.01K
Potential profit: $51.01K
User PnL: -$51.01

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.09K
Potential profit: $44.09K
User PnL: -$45.68

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.29K
Potential profit: $37.29K
User PnL: -$62.95

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.39K
Potential profit: $34.39K
User PnL: -$88.22

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.69K
Potential profit: $33.69K
User PnL: -$33.69

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.93K
Potential profit: $29.93K
User PnL: -$39.83

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.69K
Potential profit: $27.69K
User PnL: -$27.69

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.17K
Potential profit: $27.17K
User PnL: -$35.38

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.93K
Potential profit: $20.93K
User PnL: -$21.76

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.54K
Potential profit: $19.54K
User PnL: -$35.58

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $28.12
Potential payout: $18.75K
Potential profit: $18.72K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $9.37

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $8.69
Potential payout: $17.37K
Potential profit: $17.36K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$222.12

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.58K
Potential profit: $15.58K
User PnL: -$31.16

Yes position

Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.38K
Potential profit: $13.38K
User PnL: -$49.95

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.49K
Potential profit: $12.49K
User PnL: -$24.97

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9K
Potential profit: $11.9K
User PnL: -$283.82

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.31K
Potential profit: $11.31K
User PnL: -$15.44

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.95K
Potential profit: $10.95K
User PnL: -$58.74

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.23K
Potential profit: $9.23K
User PnL: -$18.47

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.61K
Potential profit: $8.61K
User PnL: -$8.97

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.28K
Potential profit: $8.28K
User PnL: -$8.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $955.62

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: $903.69

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $718.47

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $668.46

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.59

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $610.97

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $396.96

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $251.36

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.38

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $140.55

No position

Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.31

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $119.92

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $105.05

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $102.36

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.14

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.1

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.11

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.92

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $66.47

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63.76

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.82

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 36.3%
Multiplier: 2.76x
User PnL: $55.55

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 6.3% 469 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

No 58% 5 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

No 81.9% 186.67 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

No 83% 50 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Down 22% 100 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 5.9% 329.97 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

No 58% 100 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

No 57% 81.86 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

No 56% 55 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

No 54% 1.93 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 0.9% 25 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

No 58% 172.41 shares