No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$80
Polymarket Trader
eronmusk
0x4b8fafd52976d55a69211324b458bd94a30d23f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $197.2
- Realized PnL
- $122.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $97.23
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $7.77
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.57
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $59.61
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- User PnL
- $9.81
No position
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $40.36
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will XRP reach $3.10 September 29-October 5?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.44
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.23
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09
No position
Litecoin ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Oregon position
Penn State vs. Oregon
Ends Dec 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
No position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will egg prices be less than $4.75 in April?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
USDT depeg in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 98.7% 42 shares
- Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 96% 105 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No 95.1% 40 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 83% 60 shares
- Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?No 99.7% 88.28 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?No 98.2% 101.83 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 96.4% 107.97 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No 99% 58.63 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 93% 62.26 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 83% 62.27 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by March 13?No 96.9% 51.64 shares
- Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?No 99.3% 64.78 shares