Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$41.4
Polymarket Trader
Arcadiana
0x4b9432c42b9e6086a0a67c6780751764cf259231
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.65
- Realized PnL
- $1.14
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.22
- Potential profit
- $65.22
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $20.65
- Potential payout
- $21.83
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
$60k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $21
- User PnL
- -$7.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$28.45
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$33.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 96.2% 21.83 shares
- President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Yes 95% 16.66 shares
- President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Yes 90% 16.67 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes 2.3% 65.22 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes 10% 80 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes 7% 80 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes 36% 90 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes 46% 90 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.4% 147.71 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83.4% 147.72 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes 42.6% 95.13 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes 72.5% 95.14 shares