Polymarket Trader

runcz

0x4b9ca32fb6a4cb9b8763ac2adfa00f20c8cf3177

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $94.52
Realized PnL: $816.81
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.16K
Potential profit: $8.16K
User PnL: -$571.39

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$33

76ers position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.26
Potential profit: $198.26
User PnL: -$103.1

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.48
Potential profit: $186.48
User PnL: -$108.16

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.14
Potential profit: $174.14
User PnL: -$151.5

Mandel Nallo position

UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.64
Potential profit: $172.64
User PnL: -$105.31

Avalanche position

Golden Knights vs. Avalanche

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.33
Potential profit: $159.33
User PnL: -$101.97

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 62.6%
Current value: $94.52
Potential payout: $150.9
Potential profit: $56.38
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $10.47

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.89
Potential profit: $118.89
User PnL: -$49.94

Atlanta Braves position

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.01
Potential profit: $112.01
User PnL: -$66.09

Heat position

Heat vs. Raptors

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.17
Potential profit: $98.17
User PnL: -$38.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.09

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.84

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Warriors

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.38

No position

Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.37

No position

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.27

No position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.08

Baltimore Orioles position

Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.64

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.57

Atlanta Braves position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.77

No position

Maduro out by November 30, 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.99

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

Philadelphia Phillies position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.71

Philadelphia Phillies position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.37

No position

Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.26

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.14

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.64

No position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.46

No position

Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.2

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels

Baltimore Orioles 61% 106.77 shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves 59% 112.01 shares
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Philadelphia Phillies 62% 77.29 shares
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves 58% 94.68 shares
Thunder vs. Spurs

Spurs 60% 170.22 shares
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche

Avalanche 64% 159.33 shares
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?

No 60% 108.17 shares
Knicks vs. 76ers

76ers 52% 198.26 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Yes 58% 186.48 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?

Yes 68% 241.39 shares
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

Mandel Nallo 61% 170.59 shares
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?

Yes 42% 116.79 shares