Yes position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $38.85
- Potential payout
- $611.81
- Potential profit
- $572.96
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$20.17
Polymarket Trader
starhome
0x4ba30e73c48aa74c3afd68c0c2c4c8f20d719cab
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $76.85
- Realized PnL
- $2.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $370.38
- Potential profit
- $368.71
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$8.33
Yes position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.99
- Potential profit
- $240.99
- User PnL
- -$91.06
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225
- Potential profit
- $225
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $203.75
- Potential profit
- $203.24
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.92
- Potential profit
- $201.92
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.5
- Potential profit
- $137.5
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.73
- Potential profit
- $71.73
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.25
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.21
- Potential profit
- $57.21
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.45
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $35.46
- Potential payout
- $41.72
- Potential profit
- $6.26
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $27.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.45
- Potential profit
- $12.45
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $802.09
No position
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.71
No position
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.8
Yes position
Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.26
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.57
Djokovic position
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.19
Yes position
Will Barcelona beat Borussia Dortmund?
Ends Dec 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.51
No position
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.05
Yes position
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.12
No position
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.91
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.5
No position
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.95
Under position
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.06
Yes position
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.98
No position
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.57
No position
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.98
PARIVISION position
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.78
No position
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.38
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.97
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58
No position
Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.34
No position
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 2?Yes 18% 34.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 2?Yes 18% 6.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 2?Yes 19.4% 35.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 2?Yes 31% 35.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 26?Yes 14.3% 2.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 26?Yes 13.4% 53.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 26?Yes 7.2% 45.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 26?Yes 20.9% 52.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 26?Yes 17.4% 6.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?Yes 24.1% 22.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 26?Yes 6% 41.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 25?No 14.1% 4.72 shares