Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $8.99
- Potential payout
- $87.72
- Potential profit
- $78.73
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Polymarket Trader
hugomaduro
0x4baaea6577b54edb34f66dfef72672c262a35461
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $92.77
- Realized PnL
- $229.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $15.33
- Potential payout
- $73.53
- Potential profit
- $58.2
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- -$9.67
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.04
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $34.01
- Potential profit
- $28.89
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $28.64
- Potential payout
- $31.65
- Potential profit
- $3.01
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.63
- Potential profit
- $30.63
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.15
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.85
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $3.81
- Potential payout
- $28.78
- Potential profit
- $24.96
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.8
- Potential profit
- $20.8
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $9.73
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $8.45
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.87
- Potential profit
- $15.87
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $10.59
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $2.57
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $13.04
- Potential profit
- $11.8
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.76
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.13
- Potential profit
- $12.13
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $12.05
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $9.24
- Potential profit
- $7.25
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$5.61
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $2.32
- Potential payout
- $6.73
- Potential profit
- $4.41
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.9%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $5.59
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.96
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.44
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.79
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Lutfur Rahman win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.64
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 97.3% 4.11 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?Yes 83% 6.02 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 89.4% 5.59 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?Yes 83% 6.02 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 55% 18.18 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 65% 32.31 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 33% 30.3 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 80.6% 6.13 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Yes 83% 12.04 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 75% 13.88 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes 92% 24.39 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?Yes 52% 6.73 shares