No position
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $88.79
- Potential payout
- $140.94
- Potential profit
- $52.15
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Polymarket Trader
AndrewMa
0x4bac84964ebaf7cb5506f9ae8600425f361f9ac0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $194.93
- Realized PnL
- $124.52
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $64.79
- Potential payout
- $70.04
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.79
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $41.35
- Potential payout
- $45.94
- Potential profit
- $4.59
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.19
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.18
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $15.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.54
Yes position
Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.18
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
No position
New pandemic in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
New pandemic before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
2025 January hottest on record?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.05
Yes position
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.56
No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes 89% 45.94 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 92% 45.65 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 18% 71.33 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 1% 285.71 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 3.5% 285.71 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 74% 40.54 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 99.3% 66.66 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 1.5% 66.67 shares
- Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No 63.9% 140.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 99.9% 92.96 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 85% 92.96 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30% 71.33 shares