No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $47.99
- Potential payout
- $48.06
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Polymarket Trader
theaward
@RANDOLPH_IC
0x4bb1d4bea59fe07f0aade5d876f36e87d23d334c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $86.52
- Realized PnL
- $246.89
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $38.53
- Potential payout
- $38.73
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.4
Kings position
Kings vs. Islanders
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.39
Yes position
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.72
Magic position
Suns vs. Magic
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.22
Blue Jackets position
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.69
Sabres position
Sabres vs. Rangers
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.98
Thunder position
Timberwolves vs. Thunder
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.54
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.51
Canadiens position
Canadiens vs. Rangers
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Raptors position
Heat vs. Raptors
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88
Spurs position
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Golden Knights position
Flames vs. Golden Knights
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.2% 23.35 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.3% 23.35 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 99.9% 48.06 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.3% 17.82 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.4% 17.83 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?No 48% 12 shares
- Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?No 99.7% 38.73 shares
- Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.3% 23.17 shares
- Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.4% 23.18 shares
- Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.3% 18.61 shares
- Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.4% 18.61 shares
- Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.2% 20.1 shares