lycheemy

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $5.25

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.7
Potential profit: $8.7
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.04
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $5.26
Potential payout: $5.81
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.92
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.66

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $3.02
Potential payout: $4.62
Potential profit: $1.59
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.16
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.16

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $2.83
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $0.87
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $2.24
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.54

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $2.41
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.27
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.39

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?