No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $345.1K
- Potential profit
- $345.1K
- User PnL
- -$215.83K
Polymarket Trader
How.Dare.You
0x4bbe10ba5b7f6df147c0dae17b46c44a6e562cf3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $121.38K
- Realized PnL
- $599.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $247.59K
- Potential profit
- $247.59K
- User PnL
- -$127.96K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $228K
- Potential profit
- $228K
- User PnL
- -$150.98K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.33K
- Potential profit
- $192.33K
- User PnL
- -$121.02K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.2K
- Potential profit
- $163.2K
- User PnL
- -$46.99K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155.41K
- Potential profit
- $155.41K
- User PnL
- -$60.87K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.87K
- Potential profit
- $152.87K
- User PnL
- -$136.33K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.72K
- Potential profit
- $152.72K
- User PnL
- -$103.79K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.87K
- Potential profit
- $115.87K
- User PnL
- -$97.26K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $449.56
- Potential payout
- $81.74K
- Potential profit
- $81.29K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$48.85K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $723.35
- Potential payout
- $76.14K
- Potential profit
- $75.42K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$52.47K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.52K
- Potential profit
- $64.52K
- User PnL
- -$28.91K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.97K
- Potential profit
- $58.97K
- User PnL
- -$9.4K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.36K
- Potential profit
- $45.36K
- User PnL
- -$11.18K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.7%
- Current value
- $30.67K
- Potential payout
- $41.64K
- Potential profit
- $10.97K
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$2.85K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $35.1K
- Potential payout
- $35.87K
- Potential profit
- $771.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.14K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $31.49K
- Potential payout
- $31.6K
- Potential profit
- $110.61
- User PnL
- $2.92K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $164.78
- Potential payout
- $29.96K
- Potential profit
- $29.79K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$6.12K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.82K
- Potential profit
- $27.82K
- User PnL
- -$20.58K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.37K
- Potential profit
- $27.37K
- User PnL
- -$3.35K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.69K
- Potential profit
- $25.69K
- User PnL
- -$4.59K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $243.56
- Potential payout
- $25.64K
- Potential profit
- $25.39K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$10.78K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.55K
- Potential profit
- $25.55K
- User PnL
- -$8.01K
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $22.54K
- Potential payout
- $25.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $4.52K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.34K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.66K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.2K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.33K
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.26K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.42K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.42K
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.54K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.99K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.53K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.61K
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.17K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.79K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.7K
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.16K
No position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.34K
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.08K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.44K
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.83K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.81K
No position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.24K
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.81K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.76K
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.73K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 72% 62 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes 13.5% 999 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No 75% 55 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes 42% 1,081.6 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes 41% 55 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 95% 20 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes 20% 1,438.96 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 73% 1,488.94 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Yes 29% 400 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 81% 125.2 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?No 0.1% 2,934.17 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?Yes 24% 23.25 shares