No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Current value
- $23.95
- Potential payout
- $27.93
- Potential profit
- $3.98
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.59
Polymarket Trader
soccerJ
0x4bc9789aa9fdf6421536c12d10b9ec0b19c7eacb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $94.64
- Realized PnL
- $41.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $25.76
- Potential payout
- $26.52
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.46
- Multiplier
- 12.99x
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $14.51
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.81
- Potential profit
- $14.81
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will SC Freiburg qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $3.18
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $5.2
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $4.65
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $4.37
- Potential payout
- $4.57
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $3.95
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.22
- Potential profit
- $3.22
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $2.52
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $2.44
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.3%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $1.32
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
No position
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
US forces in Venezuela by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will Union Saint-Gilloise advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Kanye West join the America Party?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
D4vd arrested by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 5?No 99.6% 2.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 5?No 99.7% 3.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or higher on July 5?No 99.7% 3.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 5?No 99.8% 3.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on July 5?No 99.8% 3.01 shares
- Will SC Freiburg qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?Yes 96% 5.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on July 5?No 99.8% 3.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on July 5?No 99.9% 6.01 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No 92% 1.09 shares
- Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 4?No 99% 1.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on April 4?No 99.9% 5.4 shares