mickscrubby

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $7.13
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $7.88
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $3.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $9
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $6.9
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $8.1
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $4.43
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $10.58
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.83
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.58
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $3.98
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $11.03
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $13.28
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.68
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$2.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.38
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.87
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $8.33
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $6.68
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $3.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $14.57
Potential profit: $11.87
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $14.05
Potential profit: $9.06
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $13.58
Potential profit: $12.29
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $12.68
Potential profit: $12.48
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$2.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.52
Multiplier: 6.31x
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$0.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 52°F or higher on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 28-29°F on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 36-37°F on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET