No position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $51.24
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Polymarket Trader
ersdf2d
0x4bce3c7e28cd83b8098b600ef49ccd668d87defc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $143.81
- Realized PnL
- -$6.04
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $52.07
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $40.5
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.99
- Potential profit
- $23.99
- User PnL
- -$17.18
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.64
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.82
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.79
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.06
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.52
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 92.4% 44 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 95.7% 53 shares
- Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 95.3% 56 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No 72.8% 26 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No 84.8% 31.23 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 95.5% 52 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 83% 60 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 84% 60 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 94% 52 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No 91.4% 31.23 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No 82.9% 26 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.4% 25 shares