No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $10.73
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $2.28
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Polymarket Trader
0x4bd6...c479
0x4bd672ad649ba38ab71df9dbf7c3b2c32841c479
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $58.17
- Realized PnL
- $3.39
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.2%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- Multiplier
- 2.49x
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $9
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $5.85
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Maduro guilty of all counts?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $6.93
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Yes position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.23
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.77
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $5.98
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $1.53
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.6%
- Current value
- $2.38
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.62
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $2.62
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- Multiplier
- 1.91x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Current value
- $4.28
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 57.1% 5 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 83% 7 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 83% 6 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 57.1% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 88.4% 5 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 76% 8 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 83% 7 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 17% 10 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 15 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 75% 13 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 25% 22 shares
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No 84% 14 shares