Yes position
Bitcoin above $116K on August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
Polymarket Trader
stefanie202raylan
0x4bd798a293be885503e6575d7e8a76850a849ab3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $7.02
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Bitcoin above $116K on August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Barry Andrews win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 98.1% 32 shares
- Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 98% 32 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 95.6% 33 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 95.7% 33 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 1.5% 51 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 49% 34 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 48% 34 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 5.1% 87 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 70% 8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 55% 56.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 54% 64 shares
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 98.5% 23 shares