Polymarket Trader

Malganis

0x4bf459194025b2ca11a2db2deb9ef2a08c467021

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.01K
Realized PnL: $9.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $127
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.87K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $830
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$20

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $141.18
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $107.96

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $78
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $160

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $196.87
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $928.08
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$17.18

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $0.53
User PnL: $381.15

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $510
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $490
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $90.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $909.51
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $568.24
Potential payout: $988.24
Potential profit: $420
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$74.12

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $449.34
Potential payout: $855.88
Potential profit: $406.54
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $112.4

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $299.45
Potential payout: $748.63
Potential profit: $449.18
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $99.26

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $57.47
Potential payout: $688.26
Potential profit: $630.79
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: -$15.71

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $15.44
Potential payout: $656.83
Potential profit: $641.4
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$4.27

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $100.66
Potential profit: $99.1
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$5.49

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $90.58
Potential payout: $90.63
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $30.7

No position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $67.88
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $7.13
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $16.87

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $966.41

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $922.76

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $686.89

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: June

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $674.8

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $554.73

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.38

Yes position

Canada election called before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.68

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.37

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.85

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $376.38

No position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.52

Yes position

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327.01

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.89

No position

Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.98

No position

Israel x Syria security deal before September?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.81

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.28

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.69

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.58

Yes position

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $251.12

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $250.89

No position

Israel military action against Iran in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.1

No position

Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.07

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.25

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 65% 1,034.62 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 69% 961.08 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 62% 500 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 63% 500 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 85% 1,660.94 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 43% 1,000 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 61% 25 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 8.9% 128.87 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 9.2% 62.64 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 9.3% 91.78 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 9.4% 200 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 75% 5 shares