No position
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $30.98
- Potential payout
- $31.41
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Polymarket Trader
notuniq
0x4bf7673173f1a913982b7f7aeeafd14885c6ebea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $104.85
- Realized PnL
- $865.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $23.88
- Potential payout
- $24.28
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $12.64
- Potential payout
- $21.24
- Potential profit
- $8.6
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $17.09
- Potential payout
- $17.13
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $6.47
- Potential profit
- $6.46
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
No position
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $5.86
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $4.88
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $3.87
- Potential payout
- $4.83
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $4.62
- Potential payout
- $4.8
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $1.31
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.95
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.96
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?Yes 70% 17.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?No 27% 6.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 13?No 94.5% 4.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?No 70% 21.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12?No 91% 21.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 12?No 67% 20.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 13?No 95% 4.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 13?No 94% 24.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 12?Yes 31% 44.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 12?No 88% 17.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 12?No 95% 4.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 12?No 89% 5 shares