Polymarket Trader

Chabias

0x4bfcf7c2a76c0f56a83d73e4bd94f6629380f43d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $840.05
Realized PnL: $12.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $840
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$280

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$49.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $930

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $850.84

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $746.2

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $696

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429.32

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $413.33

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 29?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397.96

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $349.42

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278

No position

Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.76

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.92

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.1

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Up 52% 215.84 shares
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

No 69% 289.86 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 39% 384.62 shares
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Over 45% 333.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Up 43.8% 200 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 54% 400 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Up 48% 153.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Down 50% 98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Down 50% 339.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Down 51% 47.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Up 50% 300 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Down 50% 98.38 shares