No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
0x4bfD22C0E1080216cEF21e8b717a3658DE156aC9-1774887210329
0x4bfd22c0e1080216cef21e8b717a3658de156ac9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $288
- Realized PnL
- $1.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $144.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $69.75
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $143.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $68.25
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.92
- Potential profit
- $112.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.68
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.22
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.43
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.85
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.22
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.88
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.28
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.16
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.88
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.58
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.16
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.6
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETDown 88% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETDown 93% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp 88% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown 88% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETUp 97% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETUp 92% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETUp 99% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETDown 99% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETUp 99% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETDown 97% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp 99% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETDown 98% 5 shares