Polymarket Trader

dystility

0x4c01045564f02cc273fc2b15cfa147589ff12edf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $61.64
Realized PnL: $124.42
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $8.43
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $229.67
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.03
Potential profit: $77.03
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.11
Potential profit: $58.11
User PnL: -$5

Lotte Giants position

KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.18
Potential profit: $49.18
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.61
Potential profit: $42.61
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $11.04
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $30.63
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $6.04

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $29.71
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.26
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $21.55
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.74

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $1.31
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $5.27
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $12.59
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $17.65
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $4.22
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $13.02
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.78

No position

Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $12.98
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.38
Potential profit: $9.38
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $6.9
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $5.13
User PnL: -$2.46

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.92
Potential profit: $3.92
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

100k position

Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.25

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.17

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.07

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

100k position

Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.35

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.35

Yes position

West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.49

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75

Storm Hunter position

HSBC Championships, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23

Yes position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.19

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.94

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 29% 17.24 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 7.46 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 48% 5.13 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 7.46 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 238.1 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.5% 34.48 shares
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 45% 11.11 shares
Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32% 9.38 shares
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 58.11 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

No 48% 10.42 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 17% 29.41 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 76.5% 3.92 shares