Polymarket Trader

0x4C1E5496EC0837667Ae82A255F52E68Da660393f-1763909965630

0x4c1e5496ec0837667ae82a255f52e68da660393f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $3.41
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will BlackRock say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during earnings call?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mamdani say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93
Potential profit: $93
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.52
Potential profit: $35.52
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$5.76

Yes position

Will Trump and Machado handshake last less than 2 seconds?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.27
Potential profit: $18.27
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.25
Potential profit: $5.25
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.48
Potential profit: $3.48
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.05

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.80 December 15-21?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Trump say "Trump" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $0

US Strikes Iran position

US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-29?

Yes 24% 24 shares
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?

Yes 44% 5 shares
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-28?

Yes 41% 5.25 shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?

Yes 56% 5 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Yes 22% 3.7 shares
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?

Yes 3.2% 12.5 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 100 shares
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?

Yes 13% 5.55 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 9.3% 11.23 shares
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

US Strikes Iran 19% 5.26 shares
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 4.6% 25.36 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 30?

Yes 40% 5.22 shares