Yes position
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $66
- Potential payout
- $18.86K
- Potential profit
- $18.79K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $9.43
Polymarket Trader
WashTrade
0x4c2da46b289847e3e8377c6f4ca3d520c620f8ae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.21K
- Realized PnL
- $83.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $54.44
- Potential payout
- $13.61K
- Potential profit
- $13.56K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$57.64
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $2.65K
- Potential payout
- $12.32K
- Potential profit
- $9.67K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$61.59
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $9K
- User PnL
- -$219.99
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.78K
- Potential profit
- $6.78K
- User PnL
- -$135.69
Yes position
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $190.15
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.48K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $176.8
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.03K
- Potential profit
- $6.03K
- User PnL
- -$208.37
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.71K
- Potential profit
- $5.71K
- User PnL
- -$179.74
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.56K
- User PnL
- -$12.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.53K
- Potential profit
- $5.53K
- User PnL
- -$195.94
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.04K
- Potential profit
- $5.04K
- User PnL
- -$811.6
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.8K
- Potential profit
- $4.8K
- User PnL
- -$49.86
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- User PnL
- -$290.11
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- User PnL
- -$202.14
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.7K
- User PnL
- -$1.44K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.63K
- Potential profit
- $3.63K
- User PnL
- -$489.72
Yes position
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $449.85
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.15K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$53.98
Y
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $467.75
- Potential payout
- $3.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $211.62
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.64K
- Potential profit
- $2.64K
- User PnL
- -$598.15
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $60.6
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$22.9
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $250
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- User PnL
- -$84.85
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $22.4
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$19.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71K
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37K
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.34K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
No position
Iran military response by Friday?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 88% 22.72 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 10.5% 89.3 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 92% 2,000 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 92% 5,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 10% 1,343 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 22% 5,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 22% 8,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 10% 12 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 21% 3,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 10% 1,090.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 22% 2,000 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 3.5% 2,385.7 shares