Mahler886

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $33.73
Potential payout: $100.68
Potential profit: $66.95
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $13.55
Potential payout: $100.36
Potential profit: $86.81
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $12.03
Potential payout: $100.23
Potential profit: $88.2
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.52
Potential payout: $100.11
Potential profit: $85.59
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $36
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $64
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $83.5
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$26.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$23.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $26.5
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $73.49
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $15.4
Potential payout: $99.37
Potential profit: $83.97
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $23.16
Potential payout: $87.38
Potential profit: $64.22
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $25.29
Potential payout: $84.31
Potential profit: $59.02
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $24.79
Potential payout: $84.03
Potential profit: $59.24
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $33.2
Potential payout: $78.11
Potential profit: $44.91
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $19.22
Potential payout: $73.94
Potential profit: $54.72
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $26.98
Potential payout: $70.09
Potential profit: $43.11
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $26.27
Potential payout: $70.06
Potential profit: $43.79
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $29.06
Potential payout: $70.03
Potential profit: $40.97
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $5.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $11.55
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $58.45
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $5.6
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $64.4
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $6.58
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $63.42
Multiplier: 10.64x
User PnL: -$5.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $69.9
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $26.95
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $43.05
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$1.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.72

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 25, 7PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.55

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.33

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $70.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.89

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.01

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.9

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.72

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.01

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.6

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.71

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.9

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2PM ET