Polymarket Trader

Almoned

0x4c3d8215882f177fa07f89d81670ddf4af4d959d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.98
Realized PnL: $164.14
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.5
Potential profit: $29.5
User PnL: -$11.93

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.62
Potential profit: $24.62
User PnL: -$9.44

Yes position

Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.86
Potential profit: $22.86
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $20.2
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.78
Potential profit: $17.78
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $14.93
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.06
Potential profit: $14.06
User PnL: -$9.84

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.6
Potential profit: $13.6
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $10.61
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$3.41

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $10.45
Multiplier: 6.97x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.56
Potential profit: $11.56
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 2PM ET

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.54
Potential profit: $11.54
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.37
Potential profit: $11.37
User PnL: -$8.87

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.19
Potential profit: $11.19
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 1PM ET

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $9.26
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $8.93
User PnL: -$5

No position

Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.1
Potential profit: $8.1
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.67
Potential profit: $7.67
User PnL: -$4.45

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $4.64
Potential payout: $7.55
Potential profit: $2.91
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.9

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.22

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.87

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.11

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 3AM ET

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 11AM ET

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 2AM ET

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 2PM ET

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 8AM ET

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 7AM ET

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $2.89

Up position

XRP Up or Down - December 2, 9AM ET

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.7% 62.5 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 72.15 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 36.4% 55.55 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 63.5% 67.56 shares
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 68% 7.46 shares
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Yes 96.1% 3.22 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 98.5% 5.17 shares
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Yes 73% 12.98 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 31?

No 31% 3.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Down 71% 37.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Up 51% 9.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Down 50% 3.71 shares