No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.58K
- Potential payout
- $2.59K
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- User PnL
- $134.91
Polymarket Trader
louishampton
0x4c46764399a18cefeecbea96b5e82de90d58eb52
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.91K
- Realized PnL
- $4.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $35.83
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $280.9
No position
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $598.5
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- User PnL
- $70.5
No position
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $195.49
- Potential payout
- $196.28
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- User PnL
- $20.81
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $51.56
- Potential payout
- $52.03
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $2.58
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $999.01
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $678.51
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $581.7
No position
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.9
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283
No position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.39
No position
Trump x Elon talk before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.29
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.74
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.01
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.21
No position
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.21
No position
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.11
No position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.28
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.12
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.94
No position
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $35.24
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.5
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.27
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 93% 24.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 81% 499.99 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 96.2% 1,043.59 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 52% 961.97 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 83% 560 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 92.8% 558.6 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 98.5% 1,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 96.8% 313.12 shares
- Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 98.9% 303.72 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 90% 740 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 67% 1,492.54 shares