Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $448.5
- Potential payout
- $19.5K
- Potential profit
- $19.05K
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$377.6
Polymarket Trader
SingletonFamilyFund
0x4c4ed674fde7dc998036b3ae92445d00fcdb297b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.2K
- Realized PnL
- $16.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $794.31
- Potential payout
- $17.65K
- Potential profit
- $16.86K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$771.96
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $8.7K
- Potential profit
- $8.69K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$453.41
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.01
- Potential payout
- $8.03K
- Potential profit
- $8.03K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$418.57
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $7.7K
- Potential profit
- $7.69K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$401.28
Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $11.31
- Potential payout
- $7.54K
- Potential profit
- $7.53K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$385.67
Yes position
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.61
- Potential payout
- $5.21K
- Potential profit
- $5.21K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$271.69
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $870.22
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$514.52
No position
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $1.41K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $90
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $281.44
Yes position
Will Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $716.22
- Potential profit
- $713
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$6.96
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $542.88
- Potential profit
- $542.61
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.3
Yes position
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $542.88
- Potential profit
- $542.61
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.3
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $542.88
- Potential profit
- $542.61
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.3
Yes position
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $542.88
- Potential profit
- $542.61
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.3
Yes position
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $542.88
- Potential profit
- $542.61
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.3
Yes position
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $542.88
- Potential profit
- $542.61
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.3
No position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $448.29
- Potential payout
- $453.28
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $40.34
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $54.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $345.6
- Multiplier
- 7.35x
- User PnL
- -$70.98
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $388.85
- Potential profit
- $378.35
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$37.09
No position
Will Microsoft have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $361.09
- Potential payout
- $364
- Potential profit
- $2.91
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $258.38
- Potential payout
- $265
- Potential profit
- $6.63
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $25.18
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $10.96
- Potential payout
- $264.17
- Potential profit
- $253.21
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $7.66
- Potential payout
- $251.01
- Potential profit
- $243.36
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $35.1
- Potential payout
- $250.72
- Potential profit
- $215.62
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$107.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Multiplier
- 12.66x
- User PnL
- $8.98K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $737.19
No position
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $634.33
No position
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507.2
Yes position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $498.18
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.06
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.51
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.12
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.35
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $217.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.91
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $182.43
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.84
No position
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $93.91
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.83
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1525 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.09
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.9
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.85
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.26
No position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 9% 92.88 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 9.9% 80 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 31.3% 811.13 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 2.9% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 90% 99.99 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 8% 3,471.85 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes 39% 189.58 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?Yes 97.9% 96.83 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?No 92% 13 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?No 98.8% 155 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?No 89.5% 166.38 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?Yes 72.8% 168.78 shares